Saturday, May 15, 2021

So what are perpetual or AT1 Bonds? And what all do we need to know..

There's a lot of buzz going around about the Ministry of Finance (through a memorandum) requesting SEBI to withdraw a provision of its circular to value perpetual bonds at 100 years. 

The MoF cited that there is currently no benchmark for valuing perpetual bonds at 100 years and the move could result in mark-to-market losses, panic redemptions in debt markets. 

So what are perpetual or AT1 Bonds? And what all do we need to know.. 

AT1 bonds/Additional Tier 1 Bonds are also known as perpetual bonds. These bonds are issued by banks without any maturity date but have a call option. Banks issue AT1 bonds to meet their capital adequacy requirement. After the 2008 financial crisis, higher capital adequacy norms came into force with the collapse of few banks and financial institutions. 

 Banks need to maintain capital adequacy ratio of 10.875% and a Capital Conservation Buffer of 1.875% to protect themselves from any systemic risk. Banks aim to keep their capital adequacy ratio above this regulatory limit. 

Perpetual bonds comes into picture here..

Perpetual bonds do not come with any specified maturity, but they can be redeemed by issuers, usually after five years or ten years. The issuer may call or redeem the bonds if they can refinance the issue at a cheaper rate, especially when interest rates are declining. They also have the option to keep paying you interest or skip and extend the tenure of bond.

Perpetual bonds carry credit risk, interest rate risk and liquidity risk.

1. The issuer has the option to write off the principal in times of severe financial stress. So, Credit Risk

2. Since perpetual bonds have no defined maturity, you may earn less interest especially when rates are rising. You could have invested that principal in higher-yielding instruments. Here comes interest rate risk

3. There is no surety that you will get your principal back on the call date as the bank may choose to extend the tenure of bonds at a future date. You'll be left with the option of selling these bonds in the secondary market but may have to exit at a loss as the bond’s price may differ from what you paid. Also, some of these bonds are highly illiquid as they have very limited buyers. Finally Liquidity risk.

How much gold a person can legally hold in India?

This question becomes important after Modi government’s thrust on unearthing black money and the recent changes in income tax laws. What to do, to remain legally correct as also to keep income tax authorities at bay? 

There's no limit to the quantity of gold an individual can possess where the source of such holding is legitimate and can be explained.

However, it has been clarified by the Ministry of Finance that jewellery and ornaments to the extent of below limits will not be seized, even if prima facie, it does not seem to be matching with the income record of the assessee.

500 grams for married lady,

250 grams for unmarried lady and

100 grams for male member

Saturday, May 1, 2021

Love Yourself First, Everything Else will Fall in Place


Have you ever felt guilty for prioritizing yourself or considering taking some time for yourself? Felt obligated to do more work or spend more time with my family. Do you run yourself down trying to show up for people?

 

If yes, then your fear of selfishness might be preventing you from expressing self-love.

 

Some people, especially women, feel guilty when they take time to relax. They believe that it is their responsibility to look after everybody else. They become so engrossed in all of their other duties and tasks that they lose sight of their own needs. However, taking care of yourself is something that you should never feel guilty about. Self-love is different from selfishness. Self-Love helps to understand and connect consistently with one-self. It increases love, wisdom, creativity, and compassion whereas Selfishness means to prioritize our thoughts, needs, and feelings at the expense of everyone else.

 

Recall the airhostess announcing how you apply your own oxygen mask on an airplane before you put on someone else’s. It’s exactly the same thing.

Spending time with yourself enables the brain to refresh, enhances focus, increases productivity, makes us think deeply, and helps with the more productive solution to our problem.

Try to get up before everyone else and sit with a cup of your favorite beverage or just plain water, mentally preparing or journaling your day. That will make a huge difference in your day because you'll be prepared for it and know you'll be able to handle whatever comes your way. Sit down today and figure out where you can begin to put yourself first by doing activities that you love. Start with little things like getting a manicure, taking a walk with your partner or having a glass of wine with friends. Focus on contributing to your overall happiness.

Saturday, January 16, 2021

Value Investing

 Value Investing


Terry Smith describes himself as a quality investor rather than a value investor or growth investor.

Question is.. what is value investing and growth investing?

Value stocks trade on low valuation multiples −price-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to book ratio and price-to-sales ratio

Growth stocks trade on high valuation multiples.

 

The trouble is that the value and growth labels are potentially misleading. Lowly-rated value stocks can be expensive and highly rated growth stocks can be inexpensive.

The value and growth labels are, however, unlikely to go out of fashion. They are used by academics for research and by investors to categorize stocks.

 

What matters is the intrinsic value of a company.

This alone determines if a share is expensive or good value. Intrinsic value is the present value of the free cash flow available to investors. This makes sense.

 

Investments should be valued in line with the cash they can return to investors. High-quality companies are good at generating free cash flow. The quality style of investing focuses on what matters: the ability of a company to return cash to investors.

 

To quote Buffett again:

"Stocks are simple. All you do is buy shares in a great business for less than the business is intrinsically worth, with managers of the highest integrity and ability."

 

ROCE

ROCE is the annual profit (before interest and tax) divided by the total capital invested. It is independent of the capital structure of a business and therefore puts companies on an equal footing.

One way of thinking about ROCE is as the lump sum return. It is the return a business generates if it had been given a single lump sum of capital. ROCE is the product of the operating profit (or EBIT) margin and the capital-turnover ratio (sales/capital employed). An increase in the profit margin and/or the capital-turnover ratio will increase the ROCE.

Attempt to Study Banking Stocks

 Attempt to Study Banking Stocks


Key feature of how bank’s work:

·         Give loans, earn interest (revenue).

·         Accept deposits, pay interest (cost).

·         Earned interest minus paid interest is profit.


Interest earned on loans should be more than interest paid on deposits. This income is called “Interest Income”

Banks also make money from the other sources like:

·         Distribution of mutual funds.

·         Distribution if insurance schemes.

·         Offering wealth management services.

·         Treasury operations (buying/selling debt securities).

By providing these services, banks charge a nominal fees. Income earned from other source is called “Other Income”

Banks pay “lower” interest rate on deposits and charge “higher” interest on loans. This difference in interest rates between loans and deposits is called as “Interest Spread”.

What is CRR?

Minimum reserves that a bank must keep with RBI. On CRR, RBI pays nothing to bank (no interest). The purpose of CRR is to ensure some liquidity. At present, RBI has keep the minimum CRR limit of 4%.

What is SLR?

Minimum amount that a bank must invest in government bonds. On SLR, banks also earn a return in form of interest. This way, the banks are forced to invest their funds. These funds remain safe always.

The interest earned (@7.7% approx.) on these investments is an added benefit. At present, RBI has keep the minimum SLR limit of 19.5%.

What happens if bank’s runs out of cash?

RBI comes into play. RBI acts as banker to banks. RBI gives loan to banks and charge an interest. This interest is called Repo Rate. Banks must maintain CRR+SLR, and on top of this, if banks need money, take loan.

Depositors perspective, CRR and SLR are beneficial, because 23.5% [CRR (4%) + SLR (19.5%) ] of their deposits are always safe.

Investors point of view, CRR and SLR are not as useful, because 23.5% of bank’s funds yields very low returns. CRR yields 0% returns. SLR yields only 7.7%.

Final Words:

When CRR/SLR goes down, means bank’s margin will improve.

When CRR/SLR goes up, means bank’s margin will fall.

FINANCIAL RATIOS FOR BANKS:

·         Net Profit

·         Advance-Deposit Ratio (ADR) & Their Growth Rates - A bank which maintains a low ADR (Advance To Deposit Ratio) is considered safe.

·         Equity Multiplier (EM) – (EM = Total Capital / Net Worth = 15 (max)). EM is a ratio between total capital and net worth. It is a sum of bank’s Net Worth plus External Debt; i.e. deposits accepted from public.

·         Return on Asset (ROA) – (ROA = Net Profit / Total Assets). For Banks, ROA of 1% or more is considered good.

WHY?

Unlike other business sector, banking business typically show lower ROA, because banking business is based on taking deposits from public. Deposits for banks are what “debt” is for other companies. Other business can survive without debt. But banks needs debt to survive.

·         Return on Equity (ROE) – (ROE = Net Profit / Net Worth). ROE >15% for banks is considered acceptable.

·         Net Interest Margin (NIM) – (NIM = (Interest Earned – Interest Expended) / Total Assets). The higher is the NIM the better, because higher NIM means, more “interest profit (IP)” per unit asset. NIM (max) – 4%.

·         CASA Ratio - Ratio of deposits in current and savings account/total deposits. A higher CASA ratio is desired because banks give low rate of interest in savings account (3-4%) deposits and no interest in current account deposits. High CASA ratio indicates lower cost of funds.

·         Gross NPAs - Higher NPAs is adverse for the banks. This should be checked to determine the asset quality of the banks.

·         Provision Coverage Ratio (PCR) - Total provision balances of the bank to gross NPAs. PCR ratio indicates the extent to which the bank has provided for the weaker part of its loan portfolio.

·         Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR) – (CAR = (Tier-I capital + Tier-II capital)/ Risk-weighted Assets). It is the ratio of bank’s capital to aggregated risk-weighted assets.